THE ANC BELOW 50%: WHAT IS THE ROAD AHEAD?
Jan-Jan Joubert, journalist
Friday 13 January
1.00 pm
COURSE FEES R110
In the light of recent events surrounding the ANC National Conference, political journalist and author Jan-Jan Joubert uses statistical and political analysis to project the most likely outcome of the 2024 general election, and the impact on the road ahead for South Africa. Every projection shows the ANC falling below 50%, which would be historic. Any potential government needs 50% plus one seat in the legislature to form a stable government. What does the DA have to do to get to 50% and govern the country in a new way? Will the EFF be the kingmaker, and how should other opposition parties approach them? Can the ANC cobble together a coalition? What are the prospects of Action SA, Inkatha, the Freedom Front Plus and smaller parties? More importantly than the maths, Joubert looks at the policy deals, the financial and fiscal choices and the egos involved in the making of deals, in answering questions about whether our country might end up on the way to a better future.